PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Not Extended & Democratic 85.2%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$101K
High liquidityComments
0
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Dec 9, 25, 6:47 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether enhanced ACA premium tax credits will be extended in 2025 (https://polymarket.com/event/enhanced-aca-premium-tax-credits-extended-in-2025?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).
- The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
- Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025? Affordable Care Act (ACA) enhanced premium tax credits are set to expire at the end of 2025 if not extended by the federal government.
- This market will resolve according to whether a bill extending the enhanced ACA premium tax credits beyond 2025 is signed into federal law by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- A qualifying bill may extend the enhanced ACA premium tax credits in any form, including shorter extensions, phased-down benefits, or narrowed eligibility, as long as the bill clearly continues enhanced premium tax credits that have wider eligibility and/or lower required income contributions relative to baseline ACA premium tax credits that would otherwise apply after 2025.
- A bill replacing the ACA enhanced premium tax credits with an alternative form of healthcare subsidy, such as direct cash payments to a health savings account, will not qualify.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.5pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+8.2pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Total Vol
- $5.3M
- 24h Vol
- $588.1K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Total Vol
- $29.6M
- 24h Vol
- $446.8K
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $416.5K
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026??
- Polymarket prices Not Extended & Democratic at 85% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026? resolve?
- ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether enhanced ACA premium tax credits will be extended in 2025 (https://polymarket.com/event/enhanced-aca-premium-tax-credits-extended-in-2025?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).