What will happen during Trump's second term?
PoliticsOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS PoliticsElectionAIGeopolitics2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department 100%Leader of 147 outcomes
RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department 100%Forecasters
150
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+48.3 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleNov 8, 24, 3:31 AM UTCJan 22, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
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Manifold MarketsWill the House of Representatives begin an impeachment of Donald Trump during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiHow many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?
KalshiRules
Criteria for the answers I have added.
- I may interpret answers others have added and write my interpretations here as well:
- the named outcome: Will resolve yes if the named outcome happen in Trump's second term.
- None of the actions from Trump's first term would count for this market.
- the named outcome: Will resolve yes if, at any point during Trump's term, the Supreme Court has more than nine justices.
- Temporary appointments will count as a justice for the purposes of this market.
