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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. What will happen during Trump's second term?
What will happen during Trump's second term?

What will happen during Trump's second term?

PoliticsAIGeopolitics2y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Mass Deportations
Mass Deportations 90%
Leader of 36 outcomes
Forecasters

88

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Stale
Nov 8, 24, 3:31 AMJan 22, 29, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Mass Deportations90%

Rules

Criteria for the answers I have added.

Manifold Markets
  • I may interpret answers others have added and write my interpretations here as well:
  • Mass deportations: Will resolve yes if mass deportations happen in Trump's second term.
  • None of the actions from Trump's first term would count for this market.
  • Supreme Court packing: Will resolve yes if, at any point during Trump's term, the Supreme Court has more than nine justices.
  • Temporary appointments will count as a justice for the purposes of this market.

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Rules

Criteria for the answers I have added.

Manifold Markets
  • I may interpret answers others have added and write my interpretations here as well:
  • Mass deportations: Will resolve yes if mass deportations happen in Trump's second term.
  • None of the actions from Trump's first term would count for this market.
  • Supreme Court packing: Will resolve yes if, at any point during Trump's term, the Supreme Court has more than nine justices.
  • Temporary appointments will count as a justice for the purposes of this market.