Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 83.6%
Forecasters
61
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 9, 24, 3:25 PM UTCJan 16, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Will a US Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term? Only includes retirements, not deaths, impeachments, or other removals or changes (e.g. court expansion).
- Resolves NO when Donald Trump’s second term ends, and N/A if he never begins a second term.
