KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Andrew Oldham 18%Leader of 39 outcomes
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$920.5
Liquidity
$406.6K
High liquiditySpread
3.9 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Nov 7, 24, 3:00 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Ted Cruz be a Supreme Court Justice before January 20 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Supreme Court justice be appointed by a Democrat?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketNew Supreme Court justice confirmed?
KalshiWill any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
KalshiRules
If the named outcome is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the next Supreme Court justice??
- Kalshi prices Andrew Oldham at 18% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? resolve?
- Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.
- How is Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.