Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.4%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleFeb 28, 26, 12:21 AM UTCJan 19, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm a new Supreme Court justice before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm a new Supreme Court justice before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Ted Cruz be nominated for Supreme Court Justice before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Supreme Court justice?
KalshiIf Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsTed Cruz # posts October 27 - November 3, 2026?
PolymarketRules
Must be confirmed.
- Nomination isn’t enough.