Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.4%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleFeb 28, 26, 12:21 AM UTCJan 19, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
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PolymarketNew Supreme Court justice confirmed?
KalshiRules
Must be confirmed.
- Nomination isn’t enough.
Open markets
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+17 more outcomes
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+35 more outcomes
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Ted Cruz be a Supreme Court Justice before January 20 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Ted Cruz be a Supreme Court Justice before January 20 2029? resolve?
- Will Ted Cruz be a Supreme Court Justice before January 20 2029? is scheduled to resolve on January 19, 2029.
- How is Will Ted Cruz be a Supreme Court Justice before January 20 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Must be confirmed.