KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
Before Jan 21, 2029 57%Leader of 5 outcomes
Before Jan 21, 2029 57%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$104.5K
High open interestMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jun 30, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 1:41 PM UTC
Trends
Before Jan 21, 202957%
Before 202838%
Before June 202718%
Before 202716%
Before Oct 1, 2026Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Supreme Court Justice Out/New Justice Confirmed by EOD Jan 3 2027?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketWill Congress confirm a Supreme Court justice in 2026?
PredictItWill any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
KalshiWill a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Library of Congress
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 21, 2029
- If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and December 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before June 2027
- If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and May 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.