KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 94.1%
No 94.1%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$2.9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Feb 20, 26, 8:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiWill at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketNew Supreme Court justice confirmed?
KalshiWill Congress confirm a Supreme Court justice in 2026?
PredictItWill a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:the New York Timesthe Associated PressBloombergReutersAxiosThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationPoliticoNBCCNNABCCBSMSNBCBBCNPRthe U.S. Department of JusticeFox NewsCourthouse News Service
- Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges. For groups of individuals, charges against any member of the specified group trigger the criterion. For this market, a Justice must be a sitting member of the Supreme Court at the time of charging.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.