KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 1 63%-6.0ptMarket line of 4 lines
At least 1 63%-6.0ptMarket quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.9K
Open interest
$8.8K
Medium open interestSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 6, 26, 2:00 AM UTCJan 21, 29, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
KalshiWill Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats win at least 222 seats? // Will Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached in his second term?
FutuurWill Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 1 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- An impeachment is the House of Representatives adopting a resolution that impeaches Donald Trump, however many articles of impeachment it contains. Each such resolution counts once. Does NOT count: A resolution that is tabled, referred to committee, or otherwise not adopted An article of impeachment that is introduced or approved by a committee but not adopted by the House Donald Trump must be in office as President when the resolution is adopted.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 1
- If the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 1 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2
- If the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 2 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3
- If the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 3 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4
- If the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 4 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
