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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

0.5% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionChina5mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Kuomintang (KMT)
Kuomintang (KMT) 82%
Leader of 30 outcomes
Market quality

56 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$218

Liquidity

$38.4K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

18.0% / 21.0%

Spread

16.7%

Wide spread
7d Change

+0.5%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Dec 4, 25, 8:45 PMNov 28, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)
0%
Party A
Party A
0%
Party C
Party C
0%
Party E
Party E
0%

Selected outcome

Kuomintang (KMT)82%

Rules

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
  • A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party.
  • Independent candidates will not count for any party.
  • Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
  • Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City

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Rules

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
  • A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party.
  • Independent candidates will not count for any party.
  • Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
  • Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City