If Reform's change in council seats in the local elections is this, will there be a general election in 2026 or 2027?
Politics1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAbove +1200 60.3%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleApr 22, 26, 12:59 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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Options resolve N/A if Reform UK's change in council seats (seats after - seats before) following the 2026 local elections is lower than the threshold, YES if there is a UK general election in 2026 or 2027, and NO otherwise.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If Reform's change in council seats in the local elections is this, will there be a general election in 2026 or 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Above +1200 at 60% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does If Reform's change in council seats in the local elections is this, will there be a general election in 2026 or 2027? resolve?
- If Reform's change in council seats in the local elections is this, will there be a general election in 2026 or 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is If Reform's change in council seats in the local elections is this, will there be a general election in 2026 or 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Options resolve N/A if Reform UK's change in council seats (seats after - seats before) following the 2026 local elections is lower than the threshold, YES if there is a UK general election in 2026 or 2027, and NO otherwise.