KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:46 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Scottish National Party · —
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Stored price
Scottish National Party 82%Leader of 6 outcomes
Scottish National Party 82%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
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Scottish National PartySpread
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Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJun 6, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Scottish National Party
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Rules
If the Scottish National Party wins the most councillors in Scotland's May 6, 2027 council elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:BBC News
- The winner is the party with the most councillors elected in Scotland's council elections scheduled for May 6, 2027, as shown in the BBC News Scotland council results totals ("Councillors" total). By-elections are not counted. If an individual ward or council poll is postponed beyond May 6, 2027, its seats are not counted. Independents are not combined into a party. If two parties have the same number of councillors, the one that wins overall control of more of those councils, per BBC News, will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if they also control the same number of councils, the one with the larger net gain in councillors, per BBC News, will resolve to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls, counting only statements that a party won the most councillors in these elections. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Scottish National Party
- If the Scottish National Party wins the most councillors in Scotland's May 6, 2027 council elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Labour
- If Labour wins the most councillors in Scotland's May 6, 2027 council elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Reform UK
- If Reform UK wins the most councillors in Scotland's May 6, 2027 council elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Conservative
- If the Scottish Conservative Party wins the most councillors in Scotland's May 6, 2027 council elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Liberal Democrat
- If the Scottish Liberal Democrats wins the most councillors in Scotland's May 6, 2027 council elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Green
- If the Scottish Green Party wins the most councillors in Scotland's May 6, 2027 council elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
