Current implied probability
June 30, 2027 94%+11.4ptLeader of 3 outcomes
June 30, 2027 94%+11.4ptMarket quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$71.4
Liquidity
$3.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+9.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 17, 26, 7:00 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
AugustLost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
PolymarketSpaceX Starship 15th launch?
KalshiHow many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
LimitlessHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
PolymarketRules
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome.
- Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.