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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

16.0% (24h)TechOne-OffSpace1y
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
June 30, 2027
June 30, 2027 70%+20.0%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$889.8

Liquidity

$7.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

52.0% / 57.0%

Spread

9.6%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jun 17, 26, 7:00 PMJun 30, 27, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

June 30, 202770%

Rules

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
  • The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
  • Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome.
  • Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Rules

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
  • The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
  • Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome.
  • Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.