KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
SpaceX / xAI · —
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Stored price
SpaceX / xAI 10.5%Leader of 11 outcomes
SpaceX / xAI 10.5%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$13.7K
Open interest
$10.3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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SpaceX / xAISpread
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Market data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Nov 11, 26, 11:40 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · SpaceX / xAI
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If Jensen Huang joins SpaceX / xAI before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Nvidia newsroomAMD newsroomTesla official websiteSpaceX official websitexAI official websiteOpenAI newsroomIntel newsroomTSMC newsroomMicrosoft newsroomMeta newsroomApple NewsroomSoftBank Group newsroomOracle newsroomFox NewsCBS NewsCNNSecurities and Exchange Commission filingsThe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsReutersthe Associated PressThe Washington PostThe InformationSemaforTechCrunchAxiosPoliticoCNBCABC NewsMSNBCNBC NewsFinancial Times
- Joining in any capacity counts, including as an employee, executive, board member or advisor, even while Jensen Huang remains at Nvidia. An announcement that Jensen Huang will join a company counts as joining it, even if the role begins on or after Jan 1, 2027. The following do NOT count: Preliminary discussions, negotiations, or "talks" about potential employment Conditional offers that have not been accepted Unpaid speaking engagements, guest appearances, or one-time consulting Investments in a company, or partnership agreements between it and Nvidia, without an employment relationship
Rules for each outcome
- SpaceX / xAI
- If Jensen Huang joins SpaceX / xAI before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- AMD
- If Jensen Huang joins AMD before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Intel
- If Jensen Huang joins Intel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- TSMC
- If Jensen Huang joins TSMC before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Microsoft
- If Jensen Huang joins Microsoft before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tesla
- If Jensen Huang joins Tesla before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Apple
- If Jensen Huang joins Apple before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- OpenAI
- If Jensen Huang joins OpenAI before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Meta
- If Jensen Huang joins Meta before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SoftBank
- If Jensen Huang joins SoftBank before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oracle
- If Jensen Huang joins Oracle before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.