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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Weather
  3. How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

3.0% (24h)WeatherYearly5mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 6
Above 6 47%+3.0%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$9.5

Liquidity

$122.7

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

41.0% / 45.0%

Spread

9.8%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Apr 1, 26, 2:00 PMDec 2, 26, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 647%

Rules

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 5 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 6 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 7 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 8 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,721.58+0.69%EthereumETH$1,645.25-1.21%SolanaSOL$65.18-0.24%HyperliquidHYPE$56.16-2.99%XRPXRP$1.11-2.07%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847-0.50%

Rules

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 5 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 6 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 7 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 8 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.