KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 5 · —
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Stored price
Above 5 2.5%Market line of 9 lines
Above 5 2.5%Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$171
Open interest
$40.3K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Above 5Spread
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Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Apr 1, 26, 2:00 PM UTCDec 2, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 0s (informational)
Market depth · Above 5
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
KalshiWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PolymarketHow many Hurricanes in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn which US states will hurricanes make landfall this Atlantic season?
Manifold MarketsWhich names will be used for hurricanes in the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 5 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 5 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 5
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 5 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 10 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 6 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 7 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 8 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 9 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 12
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 12 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 15
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 15 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.