Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastFlorida 100%Leader of 18 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMay 18, 26, 8:38 PM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PolymarketOn the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
Manifold MarketsWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
KalshiWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?
KalshiWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketRules
Only Atlantic/Gulf.
- Only storms with hurricane force winds at time of landfall according to NHC advisories.
- Only during official season (June 1 - November 30).