Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
Science
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness 98.2%Leader of 6 outcomes
Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness 98.2%Forecasters
65
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-0.8 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJun 23, 23, 1:05 AM UTCDec 31, 49, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
As judged by the Clay Mathematics Institute.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? · The Hodge conjecture 38%
- Also available on Kalshi — Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? · Hodge Conjecture 48%
