KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 78%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$9.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
17.4% / 17.9%
Spread
0.5 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jun 27, 25, 8:45 PMJan 1, 50, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes22%
Volume trend
$13Jul 219d of dataJul 24
Related Markets
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$8.9K2: 54%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026?
$1KYes: 5.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2026?
$843Yes: 2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Before when will SLS be cancelled?
$8432026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Natural Disaster in 2026?
$224.3Yes: 21%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
$62China: 41%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
NVIDIA Ising Calibration 1.5 Pushes Quantum Computing ForwardBlockchain.News
Crypto is the canary in the coal mine for the quantum computing threat, experts sayCoindesk
Alphabet’s $1 billion SpaceX gamble balloons into a $94 billion stakeCrypto News
Galaxy Digital opens $5M fund for Bitcoin quantum security researchCrypto News
Claude's Fable 5 just solved an 87-year-old math problem, and it matters for bitcoinCoindeskSpaceX stock sinks to post-IPO low after Starship launch abortCrypto NewsRules
If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.