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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Space
  3. Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?

Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?

One-OffSpaceScience23y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 16%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.9

Liquidity

$91.2

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

16.3% / 19.5%

Spread

19.6%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jun 27, 25, 8:45 PMJan 1, 50, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes16%

Rules

If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi

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Rules

If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi