KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 50 GWdc 40%Market line of 5 lines
At least 50 GWdc 40%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$200
Open interest
$8.7K
Medium open interestSpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Mar 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?
Manifold MarketsUS solar capacity triples over 2025-2035?
Manifold MarketsUS solar capacity reaches 500 GWdc before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill total solar capacity exceed 6TW at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRules
If at least 50 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Solar Energy Industries Association
Rules for each outcome
- At least 35 GWdc
- If at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 40 GWdc
- If at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 45 GWdc
- If at least 45 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50 GWdc
- If at least 50 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 55 GWdc
- If at least 55 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
