What are the current odds for Which Millennium prize problem will be solved next? (after Navier-Stokes)?

Manifold Markets prices Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap at 39.4% as of October 27, 2026.

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Which Millennium prize problem will be solved next? (after Navier-Stokes)

17.1 pts (24h)One-OffScience1y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap 39.4%+17.1pt

Leader of 5 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+24.0 pts

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Stale

Sep 8, 26, 8:32 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

Solved == broadly agreed to be solved, no prize need be awarded.

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Which Millennium prize problem will be solved next? (after Navier-Stokes)

Which Millennium prize problem will be solved next? (after Navier-Stokes)

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