Which Millennium prize problem will be solved next? (after Navier-Stokes)
15.9 pts (24h)One-OffScience1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBirch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture 35.9%+15.9ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+15.9 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 8:32 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold Markets[Add answers] Who or what will first solve Navier-Stokes before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketRules
Solved == broadly agreed to be solved, no prize need be awarded.
Open markets
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.0pt94%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+15.3pt47%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $256.6K
- 24h Vol
- $140.5K
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.3M
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2032+44.0pt92%
- Before 2028+44.0pt59%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 more outcomes
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- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Millennium prize problem will be solved next? (after Navier-Stokes)?
- Manifold Markets prices Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture at 36% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which Millennium prize problem will be solved next? (after Navier-Stokes) resolve?
- Which Millennium prize problem will be solved next? (after Navier-Stokes) is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Which Millennium prize problem will be solved next? (after Navier-Stokes) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Solved == broadly agreed to be solved, no prize need be awarded.