PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
2028 · —
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Stored reference
2028 40%Leader of 3 outcomes
2028 40%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$48.5K
High liquidityOpen interest
$4.2K
Bid / Ask
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2028Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+0.7 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 4:21 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 2028
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will open models be able to solve Navier Stokes by the end of 2028 for under $1000 in compute?
Manifold MarketsWill the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the Navier-Stokes problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketOpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own.
- Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.
- A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
