Current community forecast
Yes 70.6%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 15, 26, 8:04 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWill open models be able to solve Navier Stokes by the end of 2028 for under $1000 in compute?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketWhich of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketDoes a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist?
Manifold MarketsRules
It must be the same proof as was published originally.
- If it has to be tweaked in substance, that doesn't count.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 71% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029? resolve?
- Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: It must be the same proof as was published originally.
