Current community forecast
Yes 75.1%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleSep 15, 26, 8:04 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWill open models be able to solve Navier Stokes by the end of 2028 for under $1000 in compute?
Manifold MarketsDoes a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist?
Manifold MarketsWhich of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketOpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketRules
It must be the same proof as was published originally.
- If it has to be tweaked in substance, that doesn't count.
