If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem.
The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof (unless the market specifically includes counterexamples).
Announcements of submitted solutions, peer-reviewed publications without CMI verification, or partial solutions do not qualify.
If a mathematician solves a problem but declines the monetary prize, the market still resolves to Yes if CMI officially announces the prize award.
If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved??
Kalshi prices Before 2035 at 36% as of September 1, 2026.
When does When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved? resolve?
When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2035.
How is When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved? settled?
Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.