Current implied probability
At least 1 25%-29.0%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10.4
Liquidity
$3.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
18.0% / 68.0%
Spread
277.8%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jun 2, 26, 2:00 PMJun 29, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
At least 125%
Volume trend
$10Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is at least 2, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is at least 3, then the market resolves to Yes.