Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 92.9%
Forecasters
30
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 8, 22, 8:10 AM UTCDec 31, 99, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketWhich of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
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PolymarketWill the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRules
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existence_and_smoothness
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist? resolve?
- Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2099.
- How is Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existence_and_smoothness
