Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 59.3%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jan 12, 24, 10:52 PM UTCJan 2, 50, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
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KalshiRules
EDIT: fixing resolution criteria directionality about amateurs
- The Millennium Prize Problems are seven famous open problems in math, all listed together in 2000.
- One was solved; as of 2024, six remain.
- Will the next one be solved by an amateur? This market resolves YES if the very next problem to be solved is solved by an amateur, and NO otherwise.
- The close date will be extended as needed.
- For the purpose of this market:
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 59% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur? resolve?
- Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2050.
- How is Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: EDIT: fixing resolution criteria directionality about amateurs