KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before 2040 · —
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Stored price
Before 2040 51.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before 2040 51.5%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$16.6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before 2040Spread
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Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Jun 4, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before 2040
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will AGI, net positive nuclear fusion, and practical quantum computers be realized by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a significant breakthrough in nuclear fusion technology by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRules
If nuclear fusion is achieved before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Before 2040
- If nuclear fusion is achieved before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2035
- If nuclear fusion is achieved before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2030
- If nuclear fusion is achieved before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.