Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast101-150 93.8%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
55
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.6 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleNov 5, 25, 12:10 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many people will attend our 22nd monthly NYC dinner?
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Manifold MarketsRules
How many attendee tickets will we sell for Slutcon 2026? (after refunds) Last year we sold ~120-125 or so.
- Next year we plan on keeping ticket prices the same (1k, 3k, and 9k) though with likely fewer earlybird and possibly more latecomer tickets.
- Final number for resolution will not count volunteers, staff, performers, or presenters.
- We'll base it off names counted at checkin.
- We are not including partygoers for After Dark.
- If for some reason SC 2026 doesn't happen, will resolve this market n/a