Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 9:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast>=4 96.2%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+46.2 pts
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleOct 23, 26, 4:15 AM UTCDec 1, 26, 12:59 AM UTC
Trends
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