Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastLeonardo DiCaprio 83.6%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 3, 26, 9:46 PM UTCMar 15, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
You may suggest new options, which I may add.
- Please no obvious suggestions like crew and actors from nominated movies.
- Resolution criteria
- Each option corresponding to an individual will resolve to YES if they attend the 99th Academy Awards (the 2027 Oscars) ceremony, currently scheduled to take place on Sunday, March 14, 2027, at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles.
- "Attending" is defined as being present inside the venue during the main ceremony or appearing on the official red carpet event preceding the ceremony.
- Presence will be verified using official broadcast footage, photographic evidence from reputable agencies (such as Getty Images or Associated Press), or reports from major trade publications (such as Variety or The Hollywood Reporter).