What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
baseTrade PolicyOne-OffCorporate ActionsUS PoliticsTechCommoditiesGeopolitics3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastUnited States 11.7%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
19
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJan 18, 26, 2:41 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES for any country that acquires sovereign territory or economic rights within Greenland during 2026.
- Acquisition includes:
- Sovereign territory transfer: Any formal change in territorial control or sovereignty over any part of Greenland
- Economic rights: Exclusive or preferential access to natural resources (minerals, oil, gas, fisheries), trade agreements granting special economic privileges, or formal economic zones under foreign control, for a minimum of 30 years.
- Resolution sources: