Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastUSA does not control whole of Greenland by EOY 97%Leader of 21 outcomes
Forecasters
148
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJan 18, 26, 1:57 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 1:56 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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PolymarketTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
PolymarketRules
Creator judgement.
- Can be part of Greenland (not necessarily the whole thing.)
- You can suggest answers that I can add to the market.
- Update 2026-01-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If multiple options are true, the market will resolve to MULTI (multiple answers).
- Update 2026-01-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If multiple answers are true, the market will resolve to MULTI (multiple answers can be selected).
- Update 2026-01-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed they will not resolve this market to N/A, regardless of any conflicts or issues with answer options.