Combat Sports | Prediction Markets

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Fight won by KO/TKO?

+2.0%77%

O/U 0.5 Rounds

+1.5%75%

Topuria to win by KO/TKO?

+4.0%71%

+8 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$606.4K

24h Vol$43.5K

POLYMARKET

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

O/U 0.5 Rounds

+4.5%90%

O/U 1.5 Rounds

+1.5%72%

O/U 2.5 Rounds

59%

+8 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$298.4K

24h Vol$22.7K

POLYMARKET

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

O/U 0.5 Rounds

-0.5%68%

Fight won by KO/TKO?

+4.0%65%

Hokit to win by KO/TKO?

+1.5%52%

+6 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$114.9K

24h Vol$44.2K

POLYMARKET

UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

O/U 0.5 Rounds

-0.5%81%

Ruffy to win by KO/TKO?

+3.0%71%

Fight won by KO/TKO?

+1.0%69%

+6 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$46.2K

24h Vol$5.6K

POLYMARKET

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

0.1%6mo

Joshua Van

-2.0%51%

Alexandre Pantoja

-0.5%34%

Kyoji Horiguchi

-0.2%28%

+16 more outcomes

61 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.2M

24h Vol$545.6K

POLYMARKET

UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

1.0%3d

O/U 0.5 Rounds

+4.5%88%

O/U 1.5 Rounds

+2.5%78%

O/U 2.5 Rounds

-0.5%62%

+6 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$23.1K

24h Vol$8.5K

POLYMARKET

UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)

0.5%3d

O/U 0.5 Rounds

+2.0%83%

O/U 1.5 Rounds

-1.5%57%

O/U 2.5 Rounds

+1.0%46%

+6 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$26.1K

24h Vol$5.8K

POLYMARKET

UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

O/U 0.5 Rounds

+4.0%80%

O/U 1.5 Rounds

56%

Fight won by KO/TKO?

-3.0%46%

+6 more outcomes

91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$25K

24h Vol$2.2K

POLYMARKET

Who will attend UFC Freedom 250?

43.9%3d

Cam Skattebo

+0.5%51%

Travis Scott

+1.0%51%

MrBeast

50%

+28 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$7K

24h Vol$1.1K

POLYMARKET

UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs Gaethje

17d

Justin Gaethje

20%

Ilia Topuria

81%

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$27.3K

24h Vol$4K

KALSHI

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

30d

Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor

70%

Holloway to win by KO/TKO?

68%

Fight won by KO/TKO?

61%

+8 more outcomes

91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$61.6K

24h Vol$704

POLYMARKET

Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?

11.2%6mo

Ilia Topuria

-9.5%57%

Alex Pereira

+11.2%33%

Islam/None in 2026

-15.8%2%

+20 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$591.2K

24h Vol$840.3

POLYMARKET

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

1.0%6mo

Ilia Topuria

-1.0%64%

Arman Tsarukyan

+6.9%20%

Justin Gaethje

-0.1%9%

+16 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$603.4K

24h Vol$481.4

POLYMARKET

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

15.3%6mo

Sean Strickland

100%

Alexandre Pantoja

+19.0%61%

Manel Kape

-32.5%59%

+25 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$270.9K

24h Vol$591.9

POLYMARKET

UFC Freedom 250: Pereira vs Gane

17d

Alex Pereira

52%

Ciryl Gane

50%

79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$7.3K

24h Vol$1.2K

KALSHI

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

1.0%1mo

Conor McGregor

+1.0%32%

Max Holloway

70%

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$18.1K

24h Vol$630.4

KALSHI

(1k subsidy) Will Connor McGregor fight at UFC White House?

1mo

Yes

1.1%

98.9%

Community forecast24 forecastersType: binary

Total Vol$9.6K

24h Vol$5K

MANIFOLD MARKETS

UFC Freedom 250: Ruffy vs Chandler

17d

Michael Chandler

17%

Mauricio Ruffy

-1.0%84%

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$5.7K

24h Vol$1.2K

KALSHI

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

2.5%6mo

Tom Aspinall

-2.5%51%

Ciryl Gane

+2.5%40%

Ante Delija

-8.2%24%

+16 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$323.6K

24h Vol$212.6

POLYMARKET

UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)

O/U 4.5 Rounds

+0.5%51%

Horiguchi to win by KO/TKO?

50%

Kape to win by KO/TKO?

50%

+8 more outcomes

79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$3K

24h Vol$334.5

POLYMARKET

Which UFC fighters will remain undefeated through 2026?

7mo

Shavkat Rakhmonov

89.5%

Movsar Evloev

79%

Michael Morales

74.2%

+13 more outcomes

Community forecast18 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$15.2K

24h Vol$849.5

MANIFOLD MARKETS

UFC Freedom 250: Hokit vs Lewis

1.0%17d

Derrick Lewis

+1.0%24%

Josh Hokit

78%

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$4.2K

24h Vol$723.7

KALSHI

Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?

0.6%6mo

Ilia Topuria

-0.6%26%

Alex Pereira

-3.0%24%

Islam Makhachev

-0.5%23%

+20 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$680.1K

24h Vol$125

POLYMARKET

UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?

23.5%6mo

Yes

+0.2%90%

-0.2%11%

36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$4.9K

24h Vol$294.2

POLYMARKET

Jon Jones on UFC White House card?

Yes

1.8%

98.2%

Community forecast14 forecastersType: binary

Total Vol$6.5K

24h Vol$250

MANIFOLD MARKETS

UFC Freedom 250: Lopes vs Garcia

3.0%17d

Steve Garcia

+3.0%43%

Diego Lopes

59%

52 • Medium qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$2.5K

24h Vol$604

KALSHI

UFC Freedom 250: O'Malley vs Zahabi

1.0%17d

Aiemann Zahabi

+1.0%23%

Sean O'Malley

-1.0%79%

52 • Medium qualityModerate spreadLow liquidity

Total Vol$2.1K

24h Vol$746.1

KALSHI

Is Mike Tyson's boxing career officially over?

14y

Yes

33.5%

66.5%

Community forecast20 forecastersType: binary

Total Vol$2.9K

24h Vol$572.7

MANIFOLD MARKETS

UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

5.5%9d

Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos

-5.5%55%

Santos to win by KO/TKO?

+0.5%51%

O/U 0.5 Rounds

+1.0%51%

+6 more outcomes

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.1K

24h Vol$963.5

POLYMARKET

Who will attend UFC Freedom 250?

9.0%4d

Conor McGregor

+9.0%32%

Benjamin Netanyahu

-0.9%3%

Elon Musk

-26.0%27%

+22 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$2.2K

24h Vol$588.9

KALSHI

Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje: Method of Victory

1.0%17d

Justin Gaethje by Decision

-1.0%6%

Justin Gaethje by KO/TKO/DQ

14%

Ilia Topuria by KO/TKO/DQ

67%

+4 more outcomes

36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.6K

24h Vol$632.3

KALSHI

UFC: Who will Gabriel Bonfim Fight Next?

6.5%11mo

Fighter B

50%

Fighter D

50%

Fighter E

50%

+13 more outcomes

36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$495

24h Vol$495

POLYMARKET

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

3.0%9d

Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo

-3.0%62%

O/U 2.5 Rounds

+1.5%52%

O/U 0.5 Rounds

+0.5%51%

+6 more outcomes

36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$426.2

24h Vol$268.6

POLYMARKET

UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card)

1.5%9d

Fight won by KO/TKO?

50%

Magomedov to win by KO/TKO?

-0.5%50%

Fight won by submission?

50%

+6 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$274.7

24h Vol$274.7

POLYMARKET

UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)

7.5%9d

Fight to Go the Distance?

+0.5%51%

Fight won by KO/TKO?

50%

Lima to win by KO/TKO?

50%

+6 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$271.1

24h Vol$271.1

POLYMARKET

Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2

3mo

Mayweather

63%

Pacquiao

38%

83 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$65K

24h Vol$7

POLYMARKET

Who will Petr Yan fight next?

4.8%6mo

Merab Dvalishvili

-10.5%63%

Sean O’Malley

-4.8%17%

Song Yadong

+3.0%15%

+38 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.1M

24h Vol$18.2

POLYMARKET

Will Floyd Mayweather beat Mike Tyson?

13d

Yes

83%

17%

Community forecast41 forecastersType: binary

Total Vol$8.2K

24h Vol$105.3

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

1.4%6mo

Carlos Ulberg

+3.0%84%

Magomed Ankalaev

-1.9%8%

Alex Pereira

+1.4%5%

+16 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$560.1K

24h Vol$64

POLYMARKET

Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?

1.0%6mo

Islam Makhachev

-1.0%70%

Ian Machado Garry

+0.2%16%

Carlos Prates

-1.4%3%

+16 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$608.4K

24h Vol$2.6

POLYMARKET

Who will Conor McGregor fight before he retires?

Michael Chandler

21.5%

Max Holloway

65.6%

Illia Topuria

21%

+1 more outcomes

Community forecast16 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$3K

24h Vol$140

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?

5.5%3d

Yes

-0.1%60%

+0.1%41%

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1K

24h Vol$145.2

POLYMARKET

Donald Trump tie color at UFC Freedom 250?

6.0%3d

Red

+6.0%68%

Blue

-4.5%17%

Other

-1.0%15%

+1 more outcomes

60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$434.8

24h Vol$105.4

POLYMARKET

UFC Freedom 250: Nickal vs Daukaus

1.0%17d

Bo Nickal

+1.0%77%

Kyle Daukaus

+1.0%26%

63 • Medium qualityTight spreadLow liquidity

Total Vol$1.2K

24h Vol$370.6

KALSHI

Will Conor McGregor fight at the UFC Whitehouse event?

6mo

Yes

1.9%

98.1%

Community forecast14 forecastersType: binary

Total Vol$1K

24h Vol$400

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which fighters will be on the UFC 2026 White House event card?

22d

Conor McGregor

Jon Jones

Kayla Harrison

+1.0%2%

+2 more outcomes

48 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity

Total Vol$16.2K

24h Vol$27.8

KALSHI

Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?

2.5%6mo

Petr Yan

+2.5%67%

Umar Nurmagomedov

-0.6%24%

Cory Sandhagen

-0.5%24%

+37 more outcomes

24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$1.2M

24h Vol$0

POLYMARKET

UFC at the White House (AKA UFC Freedom 250) Megamarket

Will Ilia Topuria beat Justin Gaethje?

82.1%

Will Alex Pereira beat Ciryl Gane?

50%

Will Sean O'Malley beat Aiemann Zahabi?

76.5%

+32 more outcomes

Community forecast36 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$7.9K

24h Vol$76.5

MANIFOLD MARKETS