KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Justin Gaethje · —
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Stored price
Justin Gaethje 84.5%Leader of 12 outcomes
Justin Gaethje 84.5%Market quality
81 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Open interest
$470.7K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Justin GaethjeSpread
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Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 14, 25, 2:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Justin Gaethje
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiMiddleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
KalshiFeatherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
KalshiUFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)
PolymarketUFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
PolymarketRules
If Justin Gaethje is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ESPN
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Justin Gaethje
- If Justin Gaethje is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Arman Tsarukyan
- If Arman Tsarukyan is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Paddy Pimblett
- If Paddy Pimblett is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ilia Topuria
- If Ilia Topuria is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Islam Makhachev
- If Islam Makhachev is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Max Holloway
- If Max Holloway is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Charles Oliveira
- If Charles Oliveira is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dan Hooker
- If Dan Hooker is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mateusz Gamrot
- If Mateusz Gamrot is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Benoit Saint-Denis
- If Benoit Saint-Denis is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexander Volkanovski
- If Alexander Volkanovski is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mauricio Ruffy
- If Mauricio Ruffy is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.