KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityArman Tsarukyan 18%+7.0%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.8K
Liquidity
$164K
High liquidityBid / Ask
8.0% / 15.0%
Spread
87.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Aug 14, 25, 2:00 PMDec 31, 26, 5:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Arman Tsarukyan18%
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If Ilia Topuria is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC.
- Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
- If Islam Makhachev is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Arman Tsarukyan is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Max Holloway is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.