KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Tom Aspinall 65.3%+7.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$2.2K
Liquidity
$156.3K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 14, 26, 10:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?
KalshiWBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027
KalshiWill Tom Aspinall successfully defend the UFC heavyweight title before 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsLight Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?
KalshiWho will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
PolymarketWho will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the named outcome is the UFC Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ESPN
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC.
- Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026??
- Kalshi prices Tom Aspinall at 65% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? resolve?
- Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is the UFC Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.