Will Tom Aspinall successfully defend the UFC heavyweight title before 31 December 2026?
SportsOne-OffCombat Sports2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 60.4%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 1, 25, 12:20 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 6:47 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Tom Aspinall successfully defends his UFC heavyweight title at least once before December 31, 2026.
- A successful defense requires Aspinall to win by decision, knockout, submission, or technical knockout.
- The fight must be officially recognized by the UFC and result in a decisive outcome (not a no-contest, draw, or majority draw).
- Resolution will be determined via official UFC records at https://www.ufc.com/athlete/tom-aspinall.
- Aspinall was promoted to undisputed heavyweight champion in June 2025 following Jon Jones' retirement.
