KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityMagomed Ankalaev 18%+6.0%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$11.7K
Liquidity
$171.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 20.0%
Spread
17.6%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 15, 25, 2:00 PMDec 31, 26, 5:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Magomed Ankalaev18%
Compare venues· Carlos Ulberg
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 81% | 0pt | $11.7K | $171.2K | 12 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket85% match · auto | Medium | 80% | -1pt | $3.1K | $11.9K | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
6.3%5mo
-3.5%80%
+6.3%19%
-3.4%2%
+16 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$995.2K
24h Vol$3.1K
POLYMARKETRules
If Magomed Ankalaev is the UFC Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC.
- Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Alex Pereira is the UFC Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$11.7kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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If Magomed Ankalaev is the UFC Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC.
- Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Alex Pereira is the UFC Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.