Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 59.9%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 25, 7:29 AM UTCJul 1, 27, 5:47 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Tom Aspinall successfully defend the UFC heavyweight title before 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tom Aspinall fight Cyril Gane in the UFC in 2026?
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KalshiMMA: Pasley vs Berisha
KalshiMMA: Kozak vs Echols
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Sports
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Tom Aspinall successfully defend the UFC heavy weight title??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 60% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Tom Aspinall successfully defend the UFC heavy weight title? resolve?
- Will Tom Aspinall successfully defend the UFC heavy weight title? is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2027.