PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityJustin Gaethje 68.5%-4.0ptLeader of 19 outcomes
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$93.4
Liquidity
$13K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
68.0% / 84.2%
Spread
16.2 pt
Wide spread7d Change
+6.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jan 4, 26, 7:33 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Justin Gaethje76%
Volume trend
$93Jul 226d of dataJul 28
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This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
- Only official UFC division champions will count.
- Interim champions will not count.
- If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).