Which Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)
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Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast5.4 100%Leader of 9 outcomes
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10
Question type
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
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Updated 4 hours ago
StaleFeb 6, 26, 11:09 PM UTCFeb 6, 28, 10:38 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Flagship OpenAI models:
- words (e.g. thinking, codex, mini, max, pro, etc.) don’t count unless the abbreviation is what becomes synonymous with the model (e.g. no one calls 4o, 4 Omni)
- the motivation for this market is seeing OpenAI 4 models based on GPT-5 and I’m wondering if they’ll release 5.4 all the way up to 5.9 where their increments are now by 0.1 every month or two
- instead of sticking with a model for a year and adding checkpoints every few months
- for example can we expect
- Feb: GPT-5.3
