Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBefore 2029 71.3%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
16
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMar 14, 24, 7:29 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
In 2022 total global energy consumption amounted to 178,899 TWh (https://ourworldindata.org/energy-production-consumption).
- In what year will the total energy consumption first exceed 200 thousand TWh (or 200 PWh), according to Our World in Data?
- If the first year in which the energy usage is higher than 200 PWh is X, options "Before X+1", "Before X+2", ... will be resolved as YES and "Before X", "Before X-1", ... as NO.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
