KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 94% · —
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Stored price
Above 92% 51.5%Market line of 5 lines
Above 92% 51.5%Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$13.3K
Open interest
$63.8
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 94%Spread
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Market data
Updated 58 minutes ago
LaggingOct 15, 26, 6:00 PM UTCJan 29, 27, 5:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 94%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If U.S. refinery utilization for November 2026 is above 92%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Energy Information Administration
- The Underlying is EIA’s monthly “U.S. Percent Utilization of Refinery Operable Capacity” series (MOPUEUS2) for November 2026, expressed as a percentage. The first published monthly figure will be used, including if designated preliminary or estimated. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Weekly figures, four-week averages, and forecasts are excluded.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 94%
- If U.S. refinery utilization for November 2026 is above 94%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 90%
- If U.S. refinery utilization for November 2026 is above 90%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 88%
- If U.S. refinery utilization for November 2026 is above 88%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 96%
- If U.S. refinery utilization for November 2026 is above 96%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 92%
- If U.S. refinery utilization for November 2026 is above 92%, then the market resolves to Yes.