KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 80 · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
Above 105 Stored bid–ask45%–46%Collected: Last trade: 26% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market line of 7 lines
Above 105 Stored bid–ask45%–46%Collected: Last trade: 26% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.4K
Open interest
$6.3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 80Spread
—
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 4:00 AM UTCNov 6, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 80
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiHigh Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill "Video games are philosophy's playground" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Carbon Arc Video Games Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 105, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 5th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 5th. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Video Games Ad Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Carbon Arc. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 80
- If the Carbon Arc Video Games Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 80, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 100
- If the Carbon Arc Video Games Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 100, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 105
- If the Carbon Arc Video Games Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 105, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 115
- If the Carbon Arc Video Games Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 115, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 110
- If the Carbon Arc Video Games Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 110, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 120
- If the Carbon Arc Video Games Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 120, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 145
- If the Carbon Arc Video Games Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 145, then the market resolves to Yes.
