KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above $225,000 91%+6.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$16.6K
Liquidity
$23.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 10:00 PMMar 31, 27, 1:59 PM
Trends
0%
Rules
If the New York State Comptroller reports the average Wall Street bonus for 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:New York State Comptroller
- The Underlying is the New York State Comptroller’s annual estimate of the average bonus for securities-industry (NAICS 523) employees working in New York City for 2026.
- The OSC estimate includes cash bonuses and deferred compensation for which taxes have been withheld, and excludes stock options and other deferred compensation for which taxes have not yet been withheld.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of August?
- NVIDIA-0.3pt97%
- Apple+0.5pt3%
- Microsoft0%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
- 24h Vol
- $100.1K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA89.1%
- Apple-0.5pt6.9%
- Alphabet+0.6pt4%
+6 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+12.9pt49%
- SpaceX-25.0pt40%
- OpenAI-0.2pt1%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETVariational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $200M+0.8pt97%
- $100M+2.1pt97%
- $300M91%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No-1.0pt92.1%
- Yes+1.0pt7.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.9M
- 24h Vol
- $40.1K
KALSHIWashington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
- Above 235,000 jobs98%
- Above 240,000 jobs-1.0pt94%
- Above 245,000 jobs94%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $94.8K
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026
- What will CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call?
- What will Urban Outfitters say during their next earnings call?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Average Wall Street bonus in 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above $225,000 at 91% as of August 26, 2026.
- When does Average Wall Street bonus in 2026 resolve?
- Average Wall Street bonus in 2026 is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2027.
- How is Average Wall Street bonus in 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the New York State Comptroller reports the average Wall Street bonus for 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.