KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 6, 2026, 8:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 100 · —
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Stored price
Above 130 22.5%Market line of 11 lines
Above 130 22.5%Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Open interest
$2K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 100Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 1, 26, 4:05 PM UTCDec 8, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 100
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the Carbon Arc Delivery app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 130, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Order Delivery Apps Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value. The reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Order Delivery Apps Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=223d35ea-7b0e-4d4d-aff6-b14e41a778b2. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Uber Eats, DoorDash, Grubhub and Instacart, weighted 25% each. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured value equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 100
- If the Carbon Arc Delivery app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 100, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 105
- If the Carbon Arc Delivery app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 105, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 130
- If the Carbon Arc Delivery app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 130, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 140
- If the Carbon Arc Delivery app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 140, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 135
- If the Carbon Arc Delivery app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 135, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 150
- If the Carbon Arc Delivery app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 150, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 145
- If the Carbon Arc Delivery app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 145, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 110
- If the Carbon Arc Delivery app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 110, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 115
- If the Carbon Arc Delivery app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 115, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 120
- If the Carbon Arc Delivery app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 120, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 125
- If the Carbon Arc Delivery app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 125, then the market resolves to Yes.