KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Nikita Bier 13%-2.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$545
Liquidity
$46.6K
High liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jan 2, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:X
- Important information: An acting or interim CEO role, including from the named outcome, would not satisfy the payout criterion.
- It must be a full-time CEO position.
- If Grok is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $76,500 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $636.3K
- 24h Vol
- $630.2K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+18.0pt37.1%
- 180-199+10.0pt36.2%
- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+3.0pt71.2%
- Before March 202717.1%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.3%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.5pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the next CEO of X??
- Kalshi prices Nikita Bier at 13% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Who will be the next CEO of X? resolve?
- Who will be the next CEO of X? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Who will be the next CEO of X? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.