KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 95.5%
No 95.5%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$29.8K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 20, 26, 1:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple purchase a controlling share of Tesla by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Jack Harlow be purchase a cottage in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk's purchase of Twitter beat the S&P 500?
Manifold MarketsWill Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Ryanair
- Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.