Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.9%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJan 20, 26, 9:19 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Whether Elon Musk will acquire Ryanair by 31 December 2027 (23:59 UTC)?
- The outcome resolves to YES if a definitive agreement is publicly announced and legally executed in which Elon Musk (personally or via an entity he controls) acquires a controlling stake (≥50% voting rights) in Ryanair before the resolution date.
- The outcome resolves to NO if no such acquisition occurs by the deadline.
- Rumors, negotiations, minority investments, partnerships, or non-binding offers do not count as a YES.
- Resolution is based on credible public disclosures, regulatory filings, or official statements from the parties involved.