Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years?
EquitiesOne-OffTechBusiness & Corporate7moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.7%
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20
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binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleApr 8, 22, 2:39 AM UTCApr 8, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
Consider the following:
- Elon Musk has a net worth of $219B [1] Jeff Bezos has a net worth of $171B [1] Twitter has a market cap of $40 B [2] New York Times Co has a market cap of of $7.58 B [3] Bezos Purchased the Washington Post for $250 M [4] Musk purchased 9% of twitter for $2.89 B [5]
- It is therefore not completely out of the question that a chaos agent like Elon Musk might attempt to purchase some sizeable portion of the New York Times Co. If he spent the same amount on NYTCo as he did on his 9% of twitter, my napkin math gives him over a third of the company.
- So how likely is this to happen in the next five years?
- [1] https://www.forbes.com/billionaires/ [2] https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TWTR:NYSE?sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjT17PTtoP3AhVermoFHe1sCe0Q3ecFegQIKhAg [3] https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/NYT [4] https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/details-of-bezos-deal-to-buy-washington-post/2013/08/05/968a2bc4-fe1b-11e2-9711-3708310f6f4d_story.html [5] https://www.barrons.com/articles/musk-stake-twitter-active-51649234303
- Apr 7, 9:39pm: To be clear I'm not trying to bring this about or trying to give the man any ideas.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years? resolve?
- Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years? is scheduled to resolve on April 8, 2027.
- How is Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Consider the following: