Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85%
Forecasters
40
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 27, 23, 4:42 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Will an AI be able to generate a high-quality, fully-functional video game to a prompt by market close?
- An AI receiving the prompt “Create a complete, high-quality, rogue-like deckbuilding video game set in a dystopian future where humans and robots are at war.” should be able to handle all aspects of game creation from this prompt alone, resulting in a fully functional, high-quality video game.
- Specifications:
- For the purpose of this market:
- AI-Generated Video Game: Refers to a complete and functional video game created by an AI without human intervention in the creative process.
- This includes game design, mechanics, graphics, sound, and coding.
Open markets
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+5 more outcomes
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- $25.8M
- 24h Vol
- $574.8K
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- October 31-3.0pt28.9%
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+17 more outcomes
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- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 more outcomes
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- September 30-4.0pt75%
- September 18-7.0pt69%
- September 11-13.0pt57%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
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- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $41.1M
- 24h Vol
- $109.5K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
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- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2027? resolve?
- High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will an AI be able to generate a high-quality, fully-functional video game to a prompt by market close?