What are the current odds for High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2030??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 62.2% as of October 29, 2026.

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2030?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 62.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Stale

Sep 27, 23, 4:44 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Will an AI be able to generate a high-quality, fully-functional video game to a prompt by market close?

An AI receiving the prompt “Create a complete, high-quality, rogue-like deckbuilding video game set in a dystopian future where humans and robots are at war.” should be able to handle all aspects of game creation from this prompt alone, resulting in a fully functional, high-quality video game.
Specifications:
For the purpose of this market:
AI-Generated Video Game: Refers to a complete and functional video game created by an AI without human intervention in the creative process.
This includes game design, mechanics, graphics, sound, and coding.